Legislature(2017 - 2018)SENATE FINANCE 532

01/18/2018 09:00 AM Senate FINANCE

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09:02:25 AM Start
09:02:47 AM Presentation: Overview of the Governor's Fy19 Budget Request and Plans
10:38:20 AM Adjourn
* first hearing in first committee of referral
+ teleconferenced
= bill was previously heard/scheduled
+ Presentation: Overview FY19 Operating Budget TELECONFERENCED
David Teal, Director, Legislative Finance Div.
                 SENATE FINANCE COMMITTEE                                                                                       
                     January 18, 2018                                                                                           
                         9:02 a.m.                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
9:02:25 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
CALL TO ORDER                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  Hoffman   called  the  Senate   Finance  Committee                                                                    
meeting to order at 9:02 a.m.                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
MEMBERS PRESENT                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Senator Lyman Hoffman, Co-Chair                                                                                                 
Senator Anna MacKinnon, Co-Chair                                                                                                
Senator Click Bishop, Vice-Chair                                                                                                
Senator Peter Micciche                                                                                                          
Senator Donny Olson                                                                                                             
Senator Gary Stevens                                                                                                            
Senator Natasha von Imhof                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
MEMBERS ABSENT                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
None                                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
ALSO PRESENT                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
David Teal, Director, Legislative Finance Division                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
SUMMARY                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
^PRESENTATION:  OVERVIEW  OF   THE  GOVERNOR'S  FY19  BUDGET                                                                  
REQUEST and PLANS                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
9:02:47 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Hoffman  relayed that  the committee would  have an                                                                    
overview  of  the governor's  proposed  budget  by the  non-                                                                    
partisan Legislative Finance Division (LFD).                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
DAVID   TEAL,   DIRECTOR,  LEGISLATIVE   FINANCE   DIVISION,                                                                    
discussed the presentation "Overview  of the Governor's FY19                                                                    
Budget  Request   and  Plans"  (copy  on   file).  Mr.  Teal                                                                    
addressed  Slide  2, which  showed  a  table entitled  "FY19                                                                    
Revenue and Appropriations." He shared  that in place of the                                                                    
usual fiscal summary, the presentation  would provide a bare                                                                    
minimum fiscal  summary, which was  reflected on  the slide.                                                                    
He noted that the full summary  was located on Page 8 of the                                                                    
Legislative  Fiscal  Analyst's  Overview of  the  Governor's                                                                    
Request    for   FY18,    which    could    be   found    at                                                                    
www.legfin.akleg.gov.  He  noted  that the  slide  reflected                                                                    
undesignated general  funds (UGF)only  because this  was the                                                                    
only  fund  category where  there  could  be a  deficit.  He                                                                    
related that the slides were not the Governor's budget.                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  Hoffman interjected  that  the state  constitution                                                                    
required a balance budget.                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal agreed, adding that  the state was required to have                                                                    
a  balanced budget  and  the deficit  could  be filled  from                                                                    
savings.  He  said that  the  state  could have  a  cashflow                                                                    
deficit if it  had reserves, or other sources,  to draw from                                                                    
to fill  the deficit.  He thought that  it was  important to                                                                    
understand where the state  stood financially before drawing                                                                    
from  reserves,  which  was  reflected  in  the  slide.  The                                                                    
revenue  on the  slide  showed $2,085.8  in essentially  oil                                                                    
revenue  and excluded  transfers  from  the earning  reserve                                                                    
account (ERA).  The slide showed only  current year cashflow                                                                    
revenue and  did not  include a payout  from the  ERA, which                                                                    
the  Governor   had  proposed.  He  spoke   to  footnote  2,                                                                    
appropriations excluded dividends and  transfers to and from                                                                    
reserves  because the  attempt was  to show  cashflow during                                                                    
the year  and did not want  transfers of any kind  adding to                                                                    
revenue.                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
9:07:44 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Teal  stated  that  the   slide  showed  how  much  was                                                                    
appropriated, broken down  into agency operations, statewide                                                                    
items,  and  capital  expenditures.  He  directed  committee                                                                    
attention  to  the  approximately   $4.6  million  in  total                                                                    
appropriations. He said  that this resulted in  a deficit of                                                                    
$2,495.0.  He believed  that the  exercise was  to determine                                                                    
how much  corrective action would  be necessary to  fill the                                                                    
deficit to meet the  constitutional mandate of balancing the                                                                    
budget.                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
9:09:19 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Senator  von   Imhof  asked  whether  the   statewide  items                                                                    
included full payments for debt  service and retirement, and                                                                    
whether  the agency  operations  including the  supplemental                                                                    
requests.                                                                                                                       
Mr. Teal answered in the  negative and stated that the slide                                                                    
reflected  the   cash  flow  deficit  with   the  governor's                                                                    
statewide items. He noted footnote 2:                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
     Appropriations exclude dividends and transfers to/from                                                                     
     reserves                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
He  said that  any items  that required  more than  a simple                                                                    
majority  vote had  been excluded.  He stated  that the  the                                                                    
slide reflected where would the  state be financially if the                                                                    
legislature passed  the budget with a  simple majority vote.                                                                    
The slide  did not include  an appropriation to pay  for oil                                                                    
and gas tax credits  or to make supplemental appropriations.                                                                    
He pointed out that the  Governor had moved debt service and                                                                    
other items  to a separate  section of the  operating budget                                                                    
bill and required a supermajority vote to fund those items.                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
Senator von Imhof  hoped to discuss the  other items further                                                                    
into the presentation.                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
9:11:34 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal mentioned that he  would show three versions of the                                                                    
fiscal  summary:   cash  flow,  a version  that  put in  the                                                                    
Percent of Market  Value draw, and the  Governor's full plan                                                                    
(including  the supermajority  vote).  He  thought he  would                                                                    
address the questions at a later part of the presentation.                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
9:12:26 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal  reiterated that  the slide  did not  represent the                                                                    
Governor's   fiscal   plan;    this   was   the   Governor's                                                                    
appropriation bill, without  supermajority actions or fiscal                                                                    
notes.  He  thought  the  committee  might  know  about  the                                                                    
Governor's proposal  to purchase  tax credits  through debt,                                                                    
which required  legislation. He  said that  legislators that                                                                    
believed that the state much  purchase the statutory minimum                                                                    
of $206  million, then it  could be argued that  those funds                                                                    
should be  included in  the budget. He  relayed that  if the                                                                    
Governor  wanted  to issue  a  debt  plan, and  it  required                                                                    
legislation,  then   savings  of  $206  million   should  be                                                                    
reflected  in  a  fiscal  note  - which  was  not  what  the                                                                    
Governor had done. He shared  that the Governor did not have                                                                    
to  fund the  oil  credit purchases,  despite the  statutory                                                                    
minimum to do so. He related  that 2018 was a confusion year                                                                    
because  the budget  was  usually  appropriation bills,  but                                                                    
this  year had  brought appropriation  bills plus  a several                                                                    
fiscal  plans that  required  legislation  to implement.  He                                                                    
thought that it  could be difficult for  the legislature and                                                                    
the public to separate the budget from the fiscal plan.                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
9:15:09 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal  continued discussing  Slide 2.  He noted  that the                                                                    
deficit had been worse in the  past but could be filled from                                                                    
the CBR through a  simple supermajority vote. Unfortunately,                                                                    
now the CBR balance was too  low to fill the gap and balance                                                                    
the budget.                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
9:16:11 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal turned  to Slide 3, "Budget Reserves  (CBR & SBR),"                                                                    
which showed a  bar graph from 2015 that  had projected that                                                                    
the  CBR would  not carry  the state  through FY19.  He felt                                                                    
that  the issue  was that  the  state was  out of  reserves,                                                                    
regardless   of  who   was  to   blame,  which   meant  that                                                                    
alternative strategies needed to be considered.                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
9:17:11 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr.   Teal   discussed   Slide    4,   "FY19   Revenue   and                                                                    
Appropriations," which  showed a  data table  that reflected                                                                    
what the  budget would look  like if money  wore transferred                                                                    
from the  ERA, as  proposed by  the Governor.  He reiterated                                                                    
that this was not the  Governor's entire budget plan but was                                                                    
a step  in the plan.  He said that  the POMV payout  of $2.7                                                                    
billion;  revenue would  be  twice  what it  would  be on  a                                                                    
cashflow basis. He relayed that  of the $2.7 billion payout,                                                                    
$819 million is for dividends,  meaning that the net gain to                                                                    
the  general fund  would be  $1.9 billion  and not  the full                                                                    
$2.7 billion. He  noted that the deficit would  drop to $600                                                                    
million and transfers would be  small. The scenario excluded                                                                    
items  that  required  legislative action  beyond  a  simple                                                                    
majority vote and excluded an  appropriation to purchase oil                                                                    
and gas  tax credits. He  pointed out  at the bottom  of the                                                                    
table that there would be  $1,797.0 in reserves, which would                                                                    
last three years under the scenario.                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
9:19:54 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal continued  discussing slide 4. He  noted that under                                                                    
the  scenario on  the slide,  after filling  the deficit  He                                                                    
said that some could interpret  that the reserves would only                                                                    
last   two  years.   He  said   that  regardless   of  which                                                                    
interpretation  the state  still  had a  deficit that  would                                                                    
drain  reserves  to the  point  where  they were  no  longer                                                                    
available.                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
9:21:31 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Senator   Micciche   wondered   about  the   definition   of                                                                    
"reserves"  and whether  the definition  would  change if  a                                                                    
POMV bill were to pass.                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Teal accepted  Senator Micciche's  idea as  one way  to                                                                    
look  at it.  He countered  that the  reserve account  could                                                                    
still be considered revenue and  not reserves. He thought it                                                                    
was possible  not to count the  ERA as a budget  reserve. He                                                                    
stated that the  CBR could be used only by  spending and was                                                                    
not invested  in a  high-risk manner.  He stressed  that the                                                                    
only way to  make the CBR vanish was to  spend it, while the                                                                    
ERA was very different. He did  not consider the ERA to be a                                                                    
budget reserve.                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal  offered a hypothetical  scenario in which  the ERA                                                                    
could vanish without spending.                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
9:24:49 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Senator Micciche thought it was  a quandary that reserves be                                                                    
defined  as only  the CBR  and the  SBR. He  said that  they                                                                    
could  be  secured  as  a  budget  reserve  but  that  could                                                                    
decrease adequate growth in each account.                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Teal  agreed that  some  people  would say  there  were                                                                    
budget  reserves  in  places  such as  the  PCE  and  higher                                                                    
education funds.   He thought  that counting other  funds as                                                                    
reserves was a matter of opinion.                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
9:26:32 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Senator  Stevens  asked  for more  discussion  about  budget                                                                    
reserves and  the CBR.  He referenced  Slide 3  and recalled                                                                    
that the  senate had worked  in the  past to return  fund to                                                                    
the CBR. He asked whether  the legislature had an obligation                                                                    
to replace money borrowed from the CBR.                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Teal  replied  in  the affirmative  but  noted  that  a                                                                    
surplus was  necessary to  replenish the  CBR, if  there was                                                                    
not  surplus  then the  payback  was  not the  priority.  He                                                                    
thought that  the target  should not  be merely  filling the                                                                    
deficit but should  also be replenishing the  CBR because of                                                                    
the constitutional  requirement. He  shared that  when there                                                                    
was money  left over int eh  general fund at the  end of the                                                                    
year it  should be swept  over to  the CBR; when  there were                                                                    
budget surpluses,  deposits should be  made into the  CBR so                                                                    
that  it  could  be  drawn  from in  times  of  deficit.  He                                                                    
lamented that  in the past  several years the draw  from the                                                                    
CBR had gone  beyond using it to fill  a short-term deficit,                                                                    
rather  it was  filling a  structural deficit,  drawing from                                                                    
the reserve year  after year. The big question  was when did                                                                    
the legislature plan to pay the CBR back.                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
9:30:09 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Vice-Chair Bishop  argued that the deficit  was greater than                                                                    
$600  million.  He realized  that  there  were questions  of                                                                    
accounting  but  considered that  it  was  a matter  of  the                                                                    
people's money.  He thought there  needed to be a  line item                                                                    
to  pay the  money back,  and there  should be  a structured                                                                    
payback  method. He  thought  a certain  POMV  bill had  the                                                                    
payback built  in at one  point. He expressed  concern about                                                                    
the amount of money that had been spent from the CBR.                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
9:32:04 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  MacKinnon referenced  the  Senate's proposal  that                                                                    
included a  spending limit. She  discussed the facet  of the                                                                    
proposal that would  divert money to replenish  the CBR. She                                                                    
hoped the legislature would work together on the issue.                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
9:33:35 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Teal spoke  to  Slide 5,  "FY19 Revenue,  Appropriation                                                                    
Bills and Other  Items," which included a  third column with                                                                    
additional  items,   which  could  also  be   labelled  "the                                                                    
Governor's  plan." The  items required  more  than a  simple                                                                    
supermajority  vote and  added  fiscal notes.  There was  an                                                                    
additional $200 million from payroll and motor fuels taxes.                                                                     
The $200  million made the  deficit larger because  $309 was                                                                    
being  spent  for  the  fiscal  notes.  He  noted  that  the                                                                    
Governor  proposed spending  $280 million  for the  Economic                                                                    
Recovery  Act, with  only  $160 million  in  revenue in  the                                                                    
first  year,  which  was problematic.  He  noted  that  over                                                                    
expenditures could end up pulling  from the general fund. He                                                                    
stressed that the  appropriation had to be  counted in full,                                                                    
not  in  the  amount  the administration  thought  might  be                                                                    
spent,  he  stressed  that counting  appropriations  in  the                                                                    
latter way would be crazymaking.                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Teal  said  that  if  money  was  appropriated  by  the                                                                    
legislature,  LFD  counted it  as  spent.  He wondered  what                                                                    
happened if  the Economic  Recovery Act  failed to  pass. He                                                                    
said there would  be several FY19 projects in  that act that                                                                    
the  legislature would  move to  the  Capital Budget,  which                                                                    
would  increase  capital  spending.   He  relayed  that  the                                                                    
deficit  under  the  Governor's plan  was  approaching  $700                                                                    
million and that the Governor  proposed filling the gap with                                                                    
a  firm draw  from the  CBR,  with the  SBR as  back up.  He                                                                    
thought this  was digressive because the  Governor wanted to                                                                    
spend $400 million  from the CBR and the  LFD fiscal summary                                                                    
showed $425  million spent  from the CBR.  He said  that the                                                                    
difference  was  that the  Governor  showed  savings in  the                                                                    
retirement   system,  instead   of  pairing   the  actuarial                                                                    
valuations recommended  contributions, they would be  cut by                                                                    
$25.5  million.   He  said  that   LFD  believed   that  the                                                                    
retirement system should be counted  at $425 million because                                                                    
the appropriation  was contingent upon savings  in Medicare.                                                                    
He said  that until the  savings were achieved the  CBR draw                                                                    
would not be  reduced by the savings amount.  He shared that                                                                    
LFD  counted  contingent  appropriations  at  their  maximum                                                                    
value,  which was  $425.5  and assumed  that  there were  no                                                                    
medical cost savings in the retirement system.                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
9:38:07 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Teal said  that a  supermajority vote  this year  would                                                                    
limit the  draw to $425.5  million; with the CBR  there were                                                                    
total reserves  and the potential  problem of  an unbalanced                                                                    
budget.  He  said that  the  LFD  analysis varied  from  the                                                                    
Governor's proposal and that the  Governor had time to amend                                                                    
his  budget. He  felt  there was  danger  in the  governor's                                                                    
approach. He said  that the reason for  making certain items                                                                    
dependent on a supermajority vote  was that those items were                                                                    
"less disruptive"  and would not  hinder an  on-time budget,                                                                    
for core government services being  passed. This would leave                                                                    
these  "less disruptive"  non-personal service  items to  be                                                                    
funded from the CBR, which  he pointed out could backfire if                                                                    
oil revenue did  not meet expectations. He  thought that the                                                                    
approach  lessened  flexibility  and was  unsustainable.  He                                                                    
thought   that  the   danger   could   be  eliminated   with                                                                    
legislatively added language.                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
9:44:26 AM                                                                                                                    
Co-Chair  Hoffman  relayed  that many  members  thought  the                                                                    
budget  reserve  was lower  than  what  was comfortable.  He                                                                    
added that  the administration had  also stated as  much. He                                                                    
asked whether the CBR balance should  be higher in case of a                                                                    
potential emergency.                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal  opined that reserves  were unique to  every state,                                                                    
and if  a state  had a diversified  revenue stream  with low                                                                    
volatility,  there was  no need  for a  big reserve.  In the                                                                    
case of Alaska,  the revenue stream was  not diversified and                                                                    
was extremely  volatile, which meant  that the  state needed                                                                    
significant  reserves.  He argued  that  a  year's worth  of                                                                    
reserves  (roughly  $5  billion)   was  needed  as  a  shock                                                                    
absorber, if there  was a POMV payout. He added  that it was                                                                    
not  enough  to  act  as  a shock  absorber  if  there  were                                                                    
deficits of  $2.5 billion because  it would be used  up, all                                                                    
in  one year.  He said  that there  was a  provision in  the                                                                    
budget   that  had   never  been   used  to   issue  revenue                                                                    
anticipation   notes;  short   term,   low  interest   notes                                                                    
specifically designed  to cover cashflow shortages.  He said                                                                    
that it depended on whether the  CBR was meant to be a shock                                                                    
absorber or a long-term source of revenue.                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
9:47:33 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal reviewed  slide 6, "Comparing FY19  to FY18 (UGF),"                                                                    
which  showed a  data table  which was  intended to  provide                                                                    
perspective   on  the   budget  and   provided  a   standard                                                                    
comparison of  the current  year to  the previous  year; UGF                                                                    
only. He  thought the  FY18 budget should  be known,  but it                                                                    
was  problematic  in  that  the   governor  had  released  a                                                                    
"transparent  budget report"  that showed  a reduction  from                                                                    
FY18  to FY19  of  $150  million. He  related  that the  OMB                                                                    
fiscal summary showed a reduction  form FY18 to FY19 of $257                                                                    
million. The LFD fiscal summary  showed and increase of $287                                                                    
million. The  spread was troubling.  He said that a  list of                                                                    
16  points of  differences had  been  sent to  OMB but  that                                                                    
there were two primary differences  on the list. One was the                                                                    
Governor's plan  spend the CBR and  say that the CBR  is not                                                                    
UGF.                                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
9:50:37 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
He thought  taking $400 million  form the CBR and  saying it                                                                    
reduced  the deficit  was an  odd  way to  count because  it                                                                    
implied that the  deficit went away when filled  by the CBR;                                                                    
pulling from  reserves to fill  a deficit did  not eliminate                                                                    
the  fact that  there  was a  deficit. Second,  supplemental                                                                    
requests by the  Governor of $170 million were  added to the                                                                    
FY18 base, before comparison. He  thought that this approach                                                                    
allowed  for false  budget reductions  reflected year  after                                                                    
year.  He believed  that  if the  supplementals  were to  be                                                                    
counted  when comparing  two  years of  a  budget, the  FY18                                                                    
supplementals  should  be  added   to  the  FY19  costs.  He                                                                    
believed  that adding  the supplementals  to  the FY18  base                                                                    
distorted the  numbers in the wrong  direction because there                                                                    
was no  accountability for supplementals; counting  the FY18                                                                    
supplementals as  FY19 cost  would discourage  short funding                                                                    
but  would  raise  the  FY19 budget  by  $170  million.  The                                                                    
current problem  was how  supplementals were  accounted for;                                                                    
LFD would advise to leave them  out because there was no way                                                                    
to know what supplementals would be in FY19.                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  Hoffman  whether the  LFD  method  of leaving  the                                                                    
supplementals  out of  the initial  Governor's proposal  was                                                                    
common practice.                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Mr.   Teal  replied   that  the   practice  had   been  that                                                                    
supplementals had not been counted;  the comparison had been                                                                    
from  management plan  to  budget  proposal. The  Governor's                                                                    
proposal was a different way of counting.                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
9:53:33 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Senator  Micciche  thought  that both  practices  should  be                                                                    
considered.   He  said   that  in   reality  there   was  no                                                                    
accountability for supplementals,  the legislature just paid                                                                    
for  them,  and would  continue  to  pay  for them  as  they                                                                    
increased.  He wondered  what recommendation  could be  made                                                                    
for holding  the administration  accountable for  the lowest                                                                    
potential supplemental budget going forward.                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Teal thought  that  the legislature  played  a role  in                                                                    
supplemental budgets  as well. He  did not thing  that fault                                                                    
was  relevant.  He emphasized  that  the  issue was  one  of                                                                    
counting, either both year's  supplementals were counted, or                                                                    
neither.  Since   there  was  no   way  to  know   what  the                                                                    
supplementals would be for FY19,  neither should be counted.                                                                    
He lamented that the unknown  budget was a problem. If there                                                                    
was  a $92  million supplemental  for Medicaid,  higher than                                                                    
anticipated, the  choice was  to pay or  to not  approve the                                                                    
supplemental.  He stressed  that the  legislative philosophy                                                                    
was  that money  was appropriated  and the  departments were                                                                    
supposed to  function within  that appropriation.  He stated                                                                    
that intent  language stating  that legislative  purpose was                                                                    
written into  the budget  every year,  yet there  were still                                                                    
supplemental requests each year.                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Teal  relayed that  in  the  case  of the  $92  million                                                                    
supplemental  for   Medicaid,  the  legislature   could  not                                                                    
approve the supplemental but then  the department could come                                                                    
back  and say  that the  money  had already  been spent.  He                                                                    
furthered  that the  constitution states  that money  cannot                                                                    
leave  the   treasury  without  an  appropriation;   if  the                                                                    
legislature did  not approve the supplemental  this became a                                                                    
constitutional problem because money  had been spent without                                                                    
an appropriation. The following  year the supplemental would                                                                    
come  before  the legislature  as  a  ratification, and  the                                                                    
legislature would be forced to ratify the expenditures.                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Hoffman  thought that the problem  with including a                                                                    
supplemental  in  the  FY  18  base was  that  it  had  been                                                                    
historically  left out  and  meant that  there  would be  an                                                                    
increase in  the base  of the FY19  budget. He  thought that                                                                    
the  past practice  was best  because  it would  need to  be                                                                    
agreed upon by the  legislature whether the increments would                                                                    
stay in the base when  the FY19 management plan was adopted.                                                                    
He  thought that  the  way that  the  Governor's budget  was                                                                    
presented misrepresented some of the numbers.                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
9:59:26 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  MacKinnon   asked  whether  the   legislature  had                                                                    
encouraged larger  supplementals with language  that allowed                                                                    
for  the additional  $500 million  draw  from the  CBR as  a                                                                    
buffer  on the  budget.  She wondered  whether the  language                                                                    
should be removed.                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal  did not think  the language should be  removed. He                                                                    
recalled that  the FY17 budget  was the first time  that the                                                                    
CBR draw  had occurred. The  legislature allowed a  CBR draw                                                                    
equal  to the  budget that  was passed  and if  revenue went                                                                    
down the CBR  draw could go up. He said  that the open-ended                                                                    
draw was then  limited to $100 million above the  base.  The                                                                    
previous year, the  limit was increased to  $200 million. He                                                                    
reiterated   that  previously,   the  CBR   draw  had   been                                                                    
unlimited.  The  unlimited  language would  have  encouraged                                                                    
more supplemental  than currently.  He thought  reducing the                                                                    
$200 million  limit would reduce the  headroom for agencies,                                                                    
but also posed  other problems. For example,  if the ceiling                                                                    
had  been $100  million when  the Medicaid  supplemental was                                                                    
requested   there   would   be   no   room   for   emergency                                                                    
supplementals,  which could  force the  legislature to  have                                                                    
another  supermajority vote  to  increase  CBR headroom.  He                                                                    
lamented  that giving  too much  headroom to  agencies could                                                                    
result in  increased agency spending.  He said that  in most                                                                    
cases,  the legislature  telling departments  to spend  only                                                                    
what  was  appropriated  worked,   but  there  were  several                                                                    
programs where that did not work.                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
10:04:10 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  MacKinnon  asserted  that   Medicaid  was  out  of                                                                    
control  and difficult  to manage.  She thought  everyone in                                                                    
the legislature wanted to support  healthcare, but the state                                                                    
could not afford the program.                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal concurred that Medicaid  costs were out of control,                                                                    
that  it was  a significant  part  of the  budget and  would                                                                    
continue to  grow. He  found it  deeply concerning  that the                                                                    
projects had  been so poor.  He had met with  the department                                                                    
regarding   projects  and   had  witnessed   the  projection                                                                    
process.  The  department  agreed   to  meet  with  multiple                                                                    
stakeholders in  order to elucidate the  projection process.                                                                    
He hoped to get better  projections to better understand the                                                                    
matter.                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
10:06:46 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Hoffman asked Mr. Teal  to highlight the steps that                                                                    
the legislature  had taken to  make the budget  process more                                                                    
transparent.                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal stated that the  budget was complicated, and he did                                                                    
not know if it could be made less so.                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Hoffman  referred to Senator  Bert Stedman  and his                                                                    
efforts to  keep revenue  measures in  order and  the "smoke                                                                    
and mirrors" that had transpired.                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal  recalled that  in the  late 90s  there had  been a                                                                    
plan to  reduce expenditures  by $250 million  and increased                                                                    
revenue  by an  equal amount.  He  said that  the smoke  and                                                                    
mirrors"  of that  time made  the  current legislature  look                                                                    
clean. He said that what LFD  had done over the years was to                                                                    
make the  budget process as  understandable as  possible. He                                                                    
spoke of  the "Budget Clarification Project"  of 2008, where                                                                    
an attempt was made to  straighten out the classification of                                                                    
spending. He noted  that UGF was not a term  then, there was                                                                    
only general funds.  He said that LFD had tried  to make the                                                                    
process  clearer by  using four  fund categories  instead of                                                                    
three.  He explained  that there  were  reasons that  things                                                                    
were  classified  as  they currently  were  and  that  those                                                                    
classifications  provided greater  clarity  about how  money                                                                    
was  being spent.  He  shared  that there  was  a time  when                                                                    
billions  were  repaid to  the  CBR,  which appeared  as  an                                                                    
expenditure in  the budget. Money  leaving the  treasury was                                                                    
different  than money  being transferred  from  one fund  to                                                                    
another,  the latter  of which  was not  an expenditure.  He                                                                    
said that  the split from "agency  operations" to "statewide                                                                    
items" had  been made in  order to  separate out the  day to                                                                    
day operations  of government to determine  whether agencies                                                                    
were  increasing spending.  He  related  that other  things,                                                                    
like  debt  service  and retirement  costs,  that  were  not                                                                    
associated   with  any   agency  but   were  important   and                                                                    
expensive, were separated out for  comparisons to be made of                                                                    
growth in  day to  day operations  versus growth  in overall                                                                    
government.                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
10:11:33 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal believed  that the changes had  been an improvement                                                                    
in  the information  presented to  the  legislature and  the                                                                    
public  and had  facilitated a  better understanding  of the                                                                    
process. He  lamented that  giving people  several different                                                                    
ways to count and compare had  led to misuse of the data. He                                                                    
warned  that comparing  agency operations  from one  year to                                                                    
the total  budget from the  next was a false  comparison. He                                                                    
stated that  presenting better  and clearer  information did                                                                    
not  always result  in  said information  being  used as  it                                                                    
should be.                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
10:14:05 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Senator Micciche wanted to see  the CBR trend in relation to                                                                    
UGF   spend   since   the  fund's   creation.   He   thought                                                                    
supplemental   budgets   damaged   the   ability   for   the                                                                    
legislature to prioritize spending.  He understood that some                                                                    
of the  costs were  unavoidable. He felt  that there  was no                                                                    
incentive for departments to spend within their means.                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Senator von  Imhof thought that worst  case scenarios should                                                                    
be  considered,  and then  political  plans  should be  made                                                                    
about  how money  would  be  spent. She  said  that she  had                                                                    
looked  to FY  19,  20, and  21, and  had  added POMV  while                                                                    
incorporating  all   supplementals,  oil  and   gas  credits                                                                    
(without bonding),  plus the full  amount of  retirement and                                                                    
debt service She  had come to a total  of approximately $858                                                                    
million  deficit. She  said that  growth over  the next  two                                                                    
years in  the consumer  price index  (CPI)would result  in a                                                                    
$900 million  deficit over  the next  few years.  She though                                                                    
that  this should  be  this fiscal  framework  in which  the                                                                    
political discussion should reside.  She elaborated that the                                                                    
supplemental  included $44  million  for  the Alaska  Marine                                                                    
Highway  and  if the  legislature  chose  not to  fund  that                                                                    
supplemental  there  would  be  $44 million  less  in  their                                                                    
budget. She  thought that the  true CBR draw for  FY19 would                                                                    
be $858 million, not including the supplementals for FY18.                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
10:17:56 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair MacKinnon  requested that the room  not again refer                                                                    
to  the Governor's  bill as  transparent. She  described the                                                                    
budget as  a maze  of potholes that  the legislature  had to                                                                    
repair.  She   asserted  that  she   did  not  want   to  be                                                                    
disparaging  but   felt  that   the  proposal  set   up  the                                                                    
legislature to  increase the budget  to pay for  things that                                                                    
were critical and required in statute.                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
10:19:23 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal displayed Slide 7, "Looking Ahead":                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
     ? Both revenue and expenditures are projected to grow                                                                      
     at about the same pace, so deficits are projected to                                                                       
     continue unless action is taken.                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
     ? The size of deficit depends on:                                                                                          
          ? Revenue (more reduces the deficit)                                                                                  
          ? Spending (more increases the deficit)                                                                               
         ? POMV payout (more reduces the deficit)                                                                               
          ? Dividends (more increases the deficit)                                                                              
          ? And many other variables                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Teal remarked  that Senator  von  Imhof's numbers  were                                                                    
close to accurate;  the state's deficit was  larger than the                                                                    
listed  $700 million.  He stated  that  the OMB  expenditure                                                                    
plan  grew  with  inflation,  the  DOR  forecast  grew  with                                                                    
inflation; when  expenditures and  revenue grew at  the same                                                                    
rate, deficits  would continue unless  action was  taken. He                                                                    
explained  that  revenue  and  spending  both  affected  the                                                                    
deficit; the  more revenue,  the lower  the deficit  and the                                                                    
more  spending, the  higher the  deficit. He  said that  the                                                                    
POMV payout  was critical; the  larger the POMV  payout, the                                                                    
lower  the deficit.  He  added  that the  payout  had to  be                                                                    
sustainable or future draws could be limited.                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Teal continued  to  discuss slide  7.  He thought  some                                                                    
might   consider   that   dividends  were   not   government                                                                    
expenditures.  He shared  that from  the perspective  of the                                                                    
treasury, the  larger the dividends the  larger the deficit.                                                                    
He stated that Senator von  Imhof was correct that there was                                                                    
a  deficit  that  could more  accurately  be  calculated  at                                                                    
around  $800 million  to  $900 million,  with  no change  in                                                                    
sight unless oil prices went up or spending went down.                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
10:22:17 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal showed Slide 8, "What is Missing?":                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
          Community Assistance                                                                                                
          ? The FY19 distribution will be $30 million if a                                                                      
         proposed $30 million FY18 deposit to the                                                                               
          Community Assistance fund is approved.                                                                                
          ? But the FY20 distribution will fall to $20                                                                          
          million unless there is a $30 million deposit in                                                                      
          FY19.                                                                                                                 
          ? The Governor did not request a deposit in FY19.                                                                     
          ? Without a deposit this session, communities                                                                         
         won't be certain of their FY20 payments.                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal stated  that the point of  Community Assistance was                                                                    
to give communities a known  amount of money well in advance                                                                    
to aid in  preparing a budget. He  lamented that communities                                                                    
were preparing their budgets with  no idea of how much money                                                                    
they would  be receiving  from the state.  He said  that the                                                                    
Governor's proposed supplemental deposit  of $30 million did                                                                    
not help in the long run  because there was no FY19 deposit,                                                                    
which would put communities in the same position for FY 20.                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  Hoffman   interjected  that  the   instability  in                                                                    
community assistance was the fault of the administration.                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal continued to address Slide 8:                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
          Retirement Contributions                                                                                            
            Actuarial valuations call for state retirement                                                                      
          assistance of $299 million for PERS and TRS.                                                                          
             The Governor proposes appropriations of $238                                                                       
          million, a shortage of $61 million.                                                                                   
               Underfunding     retirement    systems    has                                                                    
          consequencesnot just with rating agencies, but                                                                        
          real-world consequences.                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal shared  that the ARM board had adopted  a new model                                                                    
after  the projections  came out  and  had recommended  some                                                                    
reductions on top of the  $25 million reduction attributable                                                                    
potential savings  in retiree medical costs.  He recalled an                                                                    
update to the  valuation from two years  previous when there                                                                    
was  an evaluation  that suggested  retirement contributions                                                                    
would  be falling.  However, when  the state  tried to  take                                                                    
advantage of  the lower contribution  it was state  that the                                                                    
state had  to pay what  the valuation determined.  Money was                                                                    
taken from  the higher education  fund and when  the savings                                                                    
did not fully  realize, money was taken from the  fund for a                                                                    
second year.  He said that  the valuation was  not currently                                                                    
being  used  as  the  basis   for  contributions,  which  he                                                                    
believed underfunded retirement.                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal considered that the  changes in the ARM board model                                                                    
and  shared  that  there were  actuarial  methods  to  build                                                                    
changes  in savings  in, over  time, and  as they  occur. He                                                                    
considered that  counting the benefits before  they happened                                                                    
was   essentially  underfunding.   He   thought  there   was                                                                    
consequences  to underfunding  retirement systems  that went                                                                    
beyond rate agencies. He referenced  cities that were on the                                                                    
brink  of  bankruptcy  because   of  their  underfunding  of                                                                    
retirement systems.  He warned  that $300 million  per year,                                                                    
and growing, would significantly affect the deficit.                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
10:28:10 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal showed Slide 9, "What is New?"                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
          Public Safety Action Plan                                                                                           
          ? Increase spending by $33.5 million (DPS, DOL,                                                                       
          DOC, HSS).                                                                                                            
          ? $18 million of the total is proposed as a                                                                           
          supplemental appropriation, which reduces the                                                                         
          apparent size of the FY19 budget.                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
          Economic Recovery Plan                                                                                              
          ?  A payroll  tax would  generate $160  million in                                                                    
          FY19 and $320 million during  each of the next two                                                                    
          years.                                                                                                                
          ? The plan would spend  the entire $800 million in                                                                    
          revenue  on capital  projects, leaving  no revenue                                                                    
          to fill deficits.                                                                                                     
          ? FY19 appropriations exceed FY19 revenue.                                                                            
          ?   Will  the   regular   capital   grow  if   the                                                                    
          legislature rejects the plan?                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Teal thought  the Economic  Recovery  plan was  deficit                                                                    
neutral  but  was  struck  by   the  significant  change  in                                                                    
philosophy. He  recalled the Governor's previous  attempt to                                                                    
persuade the  legislature to  pass a pay  roll tax  to close                                                                    
the  deficit. Alternately,  this tax  would not  address the                                                                    
deficit and all the money generated by the tax was spent.                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
10:29:44 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal turned to Slide 10, "What is New?"                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
     ? Direct Appropriations from the                                                                                         
     Constitutional Budget Reserve Fund (CBR)                                                                                 
          ? Conceptually interesting:                                                                                           
                Speed the budget process for core services                                                                      
               to avoid inefficiencies.                                                                                         
                Only minimally disruptive items would                                                                           
               require a supermajority vote.                                                                                    
          ? Dangers:                                                                                                            
                Core services are vulnerable to revenue                                                                         
               failure.                                                                                                         
                May result in a special session for a                                                                           
               second supermajority vote or a round of                                                                          
               budget cuts.                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
     ? Biennial Budgeting                                                                                                     
           Theoretical    advantages    include    increased                                                                    
          efficiency and reduced uncertainty.                                                                                   
           Advantages   may   be   more   theoretical   than                                                                    
          practical.                                                                                                            
           Requires legislation.                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal thought that the  approach of making appropriations                                                                    
directly from  the CBR  was a  conceptually sound  idea; the                                                                    
approach was supposed  to speed the budget  process for core                                                                    
services  to avoid  inefficiencies.  He  furthered that  the                                                                    
early funding would, theoretically,  avoid pink slips across                                                                    
all departments.  He stressed that early  funding for school                                                                    
districts  was great  but was  not sufficient  without early                                                                    
funding   for   community    assistance   programs   because                                                                    
contributions for  cities was critical  to the  operation of                                                                    
school districts.  Mr. Teal thought  that the  advantages of                                                                    
biennial budgeting were more theoretical than practical.                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
10:32:16 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal discussed Slide 11, "What is New?":                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
     ? Debt Financing for Purchases of Oil and                                                                                
     Gas Tax Credits                                                                                                          
          ? Conceptually interesting, but short on detail.                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
     ? Supplemental Appropriations                                                                                            
          ? The Governor added supplemental items to both                                                                       
          operating and capital bills. ($170 million UGF)                                                                       
          ? Supplemental requests are not due for two                                                                           
          weeks.                                                                                                                
          ? No technical or legal reasons preclude "early"                                                                      
          supplemental requests  supplementals can go in                                                                        
          any appropriation bill.                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal could not speak  to debt financing for purchases of                                                                    
oil and gas tax credits.                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
Vice-Chair Bishop  commented that he  did not like  the idea                                                                    
of debt financing for purchases of oil and gas tax credits.                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  MacKinnon stated  that  Deven Mitchell,  Executive                                                                    
Director, Alaska  Municipal Bond Bank  Authority, Department                                                                    
of Revenue,  would be  before the  committee to  discuss the                                                                    
issue at a later date.                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal  considered that it  was unusual that  the governor                                                                    
had  added $170  million in  supplemental appropriations  to                                                                    
the  operating  and  capital  budgets.  He  noted  that  the                                                                    
supplemental  requests  from  the  previous  year  had  been                                                                    
incorporated into  the operating  budget. He  explained that                                                                    
it was  unusual for  budget bills to  be introduced  in this                                                                    
incorporated  manner.  He  added that  making  matters  more                                                                    
unusual was that all the  supplemental requests had not been                                                                    
submitted. He relayed that  the Governor's supplemental bill                                                                    
would not  be in  committee for several  weeks; LFD  did not                                                                    
know how  much the bill  would cost.  He stated that  it was                                                                    
known that  the state had  $2 million in headroom  to spend,                                                                    
$170 million of  which was already spent.  He shared Senator                                                                    
Micciche's concern  with the growth in  the supplemental. He                                                                    
concluded  that  other  items   in  the  budget  plans  were                                                                    
discussed in the LFD budget  overview and encouraged members                                                                    
to  read the  narratives for  each agency  and the  language                                                                    
section of the operating bill.                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
10:35:36 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Vice-Chair Bishop  felt confident  in the leadership  of the                                                                    
senate.                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
Senator Stevens  remarked on early funding  of education and                                                                    
the benefit  of early funding across  all state departments.                                                                    
He  agreed  that  community  assistance  was  important  for                                                                    
districts  but wondered  how much  of  that assistance  went                                                                    
toward the funding of school districts.                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Hoffman discussed the schedule for following day.                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
ADJOURNMENT                                                                                                                   
10:38:20 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
The meeting was adjourned at 10:38 a.m.                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                

Document Name Date/Time Subjects
011818 LFD FY19 Budget Overview.pdf SFIN 1/18/2018 9:00:00 AM
FY19 Operating Budget